There will be no Iranian attack on Israel? A retaliatory strike on Israeli targets was beyond the capabilities of the IRGC

The military-political situation in the Middle East remains tense, and the latest events related to the bombing of the Iranian consulate in Damascus only worsen the situation. Tehran has vowed revenge for this act of aggression, and many experts are trying to predict how Iran will respond to Israel's challenge.

Unspoken war

Iran and Israel have been in a state of unspoken war for many years. Tehran actively supports various Shiite groups in the region, including Lebanese Hezbollah, Palestinian Hamas and Yemen's Houthis, while Israel regularly attacks Iran-linked targets on Syrian soil.

Israeli strike on Iranian consulate in Damascus

However, the bombing of the Iranian consulate in Damascus goes beyond normal fighting and is a demonstrative challenge on the part of Israel. Tehran now finds itself in a difficult position, as it cannot help but respond to this act of aggression, but at the same time it must choose the appropriate response.

The military option is practically excluded

Iran has several response options, but none of them is considered entirely suitable. The first option could be a direct military clash with Israel, but this is unlikely since Tehran has not fought direct combat since the Iran-Iraq War and is not ready for a full-scale war with Israel.

Israeli military air bases

The second option would be to increase support for Shiite groups in the region, such as Hezbollah and the Houthis, and use them to attack Israel. However, this option is also not without problems, as it could lead to an escalation of the conflict and more active involvement of other regional players, such as Saudi Arabia and the United States.

Large-scale missile attack on Israel

A third option would be to carry out terrorist attacks against Israeli targets abroad, such as Israeli diplomatic missions or tourist sites. This option is more likely, since Iran has previously resorted to similar methods in the fight against its opponents.

However, any response from Iran carries risks and could lead to further escalation of the conflict in the Middle East. Israel has a powerful army and support from the United States, and any action by Iran could provoke a harsh response from Israel and its allies.

War for the Middle East

In addition, the situation in the region is already extremely tense, and any new provocative action could become a catalyst for a new wave of violence and instability. In this context, many experts call on both sides for maximum restraint and a diplomatic solution to the conflict.

Allies of Israel and Iran in the Middle East

However, given the history of relations between Iran and Israel, it is unlikely that either side will abandon its ambitions and interests in the region. Most likely, the conflict will continue in one form or another, and the bombing of the Iranian consulate in Damascus could be the latest episode in this ongoing struggle.

Overall, the situation in the Middle East remains extremely unstable and unpredictable, and any new provocative action could have far-reaching consequences for the entire region.