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Analysis of the development of the market of passenger transportation in 2014-2034 years
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Analysis of the development of the market of passenger transportation in 2014-2034 years

Analysis of the development of the market of passenger transportation in 2014-2034 years

 

In Geneva, the International Air Transport Association (IATA) released a review of the prospects for the development of passenger transport in the coming years 20. The report indicated that the passenger flow to 2034 7.3 billion will make. People. The average increase during the period is equal to 4.1%, which will lead to a doubling of the flow of passengers compared with 3.3 billion. 2014 in the year (forecast).

The report placed the emphasis on the forecast that China will overtake the US by passenger traffic volume in 2030 year. In 2034 year in China for domestic and international flights will be carried around 1.3 billion. Passengers, compared to 856 million. 2014 in the year, with annual growth of 5.5%. In the US, annual growth of 3.2 2034% and, in absolute terms, reaches 1.2 billion. (Compared to 559 million. 2014 in the year).
 

Forecast of passenger traffic was compiled based on three main factors:
• ticket prices;
• population growth;
• the standard of living and the availability of air transport services.

Analysis of the development of the market of passenger transportation in 2014-2034 years 23

 

Trends in passenger traffic growth markets

 

By the year 2034 the top five fastest growing markets will include China (856 million. Passengers per year), the US (559 million.), India (266 million.), Indonesia (183 million.) And Brazil (170 million.).

Eight of the ten fastest growing markets in percentage terms in Africa including: the Central African Republic, Madagascar, Tanzania, Burundi and Kuwait.

Among the mill to maximize the transport of Kuwait, Thailand, United Arab Emirates, Ethiopia, Indonesia-East Timor.

Expansion of passenger traffic will increase the number of jobs to 58 million. Man to 105 million. Wealthy residents work. To grow the GDP of many countries 2.4 trillion. to 6 trillion. dollars.

The aviation industry will activate its activity in the field of environmental protection, carrying out a series of measures to reduce emissions of harmful substances. Since 2009 years actively operates three distinct areas:
• improving the efficiency of aircraft engines annually 1.5%;
• the introduction of new technologies and the increased use of fuel from biosyrya;
• commitment to reducing harmful emissions at the 50 2005% a year on year 2050.

 

Analysis of the development of the market of passenger transportation in 2014-2034 years 23

 

An analysis for the period of 10 2014-2034, the largest market of passenger transportation

 

Analysis of the most advanced and largest passenger traffic market is characterized by the following indicators:
• The United States will retain its status of the largest transportation market to 2030 years, when it reaches a total of including all countries 18.3 billion passengers.;
• currently 9 largest Indian market, catch up in terms of traffic the UK market (148 million people.), To become the largest in the 3 2031 year;
• carriage of passengers in Japan grow on 1.3% per year, which in the end result will lead to a reduction in traffic and with a place in the 4 2014, the country will move to 9 2033 in the year;
• Germany will move from place to 5 8, Spain with 6 7 place on, among the largest markets in the world, France will move from place to 7 10, Italy with 10 10 leave the place the largest markets for the carriage of passengers in 2019 year;
• Brazil will increase the volume of passenger traffic and a rise in the 10 5 place with passenger traffic in 270 million. Man.

 

BERESNEV Ivan

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